Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.