Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
