Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
38.7% | 28.76% | 32.53% |
Both teams to score 45.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.75% | 61.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.82% | 81.18% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% | 30.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% | 66.95% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% | 34.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% | 71.47% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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