Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
33.8% | 27.97% | 38.23% |
Both teams to score 47.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.71% | 58.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.08% | 78.92% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% | 32.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.18% | 68.82% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% | 29.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% | 65.54% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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