Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
