Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
