Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
