Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
