Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match.