Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Spezia |
40.01% ( 0.2) | 25.41% ( 0.75) | 34.58% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( -2.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% ( -3.55) | 47.78% ( 3.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( -3.36) | 69.97% ( 3.36) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% ( -1.46) | 23.64% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% ( -2.15) | 57.74% ( 2.15) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( -2.22) | 26.63% ( 2.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( -3.03) | 61.87% ( 3.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.92) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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