Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Salernitana.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
51.92% ( -0.13) | 25.05% ( -0.01) | 23.03% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.38% ( 0.15) | 52.62% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.73% ( 0.12) | 74.27% ( -0.13) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( 0) | 20.26% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% ( 0.01) | 52.61% ( -0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.19% ( 0.21) | 37.8% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.42% ( 0.2) | 74.58% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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