Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.