MX23RW : Sunday, January 14 00:30:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Glenavon
4 - 2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Wallace (48'), Snoddy (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
McGuckin (38'), Ervin (62'), Cherry (81'), Gordon (86'), Mitchell (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 3-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
55.37% (-0.192 -0.19) 22.65% (0.116 0.12) 21.97% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (-0.435 -0.43)43.74% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (-0.428 -0.43)66.13% (0.426 0.43)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.218 -0.22)15.67% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.29% (-0.404 -0.4)44.71% (0.402 0.4)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.176 -0.18)33.83% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.189 -0.19)70.5% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 55.37%
    Carrick Rangers 21.97%
    Draw 22.64%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 55.37%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 21.97%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-0
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (66'), Singleton (79')
McCloskey (21'), O'Connor (60'), Singleton (71')

Ervin (21'), Chambers (90'), Kelly (90+3')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-2
Glenavon
Tilney (33'), Gibson (79')
Gordon (64'), Kalla (85')
Snoddy (90+1'), Fitzpatrick (90+4')
Hall (24'), Singleton (29')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
0-4
Carrick
Kelly (20', 64'), Anderson (40'), McMullan (60')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield25202358263262
2LarneLarne25177150163458
3CliftonvilleCliftonville24173455154054
4GlentoranGlentoran24125747242341
5CrusadersCrusaders25125843281541
6GlenavonGlenavon2592143043-1329
7ColeraineColeraine2585123249-1729
8Loughgall2584133949-1028
9Carrick RangersCarrick2583143054-2427
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2566134351-824
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena2553171745-2818
12Newry City AFC2533191862-4412

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