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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
59.01% | 22.19% | 18.81% |
Both teams to score 52.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.06% | 45.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.75% | 68.25% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% | 43.87% |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% | 38.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% | 75.07% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.46% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
2 | Orlando City | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 54 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 50 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 46 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 41 |
9 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 40 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 39 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 56 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 48 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 47 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 43 |
9 | Dallas | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 38 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 26 |