Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
