Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
