Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
