Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
