Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
