Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
