Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.