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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 28, 2022 at 6am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch
Hiroshima
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus
Notsuda (58')
Fujii (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
47.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.41% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)59.52% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)79.87% (0.012 0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)59.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)39.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)76.35% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.39%
    Nagoya Grampus 25.19%
    Draw 27.41%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.39%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.19%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 7am
Hiroshima
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Asano (35')
Rhayner (83')
Apr 14, 2021 11.30am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Hiroshima
Maruyama (22')
Kakitani (36'), Yonemoto (75')

Rhayner (90+1'), Kawabe (90+2')
Nov 11, 2020 10am
Hiroshima
2-0
Nagoya Grampus
Pereira (16'), Morishima (79')
Aoyama (40')

Maruyama (57')
rhs 2.0
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