Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Nagoya Grampus - J1 League - November 11, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Nov 11, 2020 at 10am UK at Hiroshima Big Arch

Pereira (16'), Morishima (79')
Aoyama (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maruyama (57')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
47.6%	25.64%	26.76%

Both teams to score 51.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03%

51.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29%

73.71%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93%

55.07%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.81%

34.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12%

70.88%

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.59%

Nagoya Grampus 26.76%

Draw 25.64%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.59%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.76%