Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.