MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 18:32:42| >> :600:429630:429630:
Brighton logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Roma logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Roma

Welbeck (37')
Lamptey (31'), Estupinan (40'), De Zerbi (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancini (12'), De Rossi (24'), N'Dicka (35'), Pellegrini (40'), Svilar (45+1'), Celik (86')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion are knocked out of the Europa League after losing 4-1 on aggregate to Roma, despite beating the Italian side 1-0 in the second leg of their last-16 tie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
51.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.02% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.012 -0.01)69.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.34% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.66%
    Roma 24.31%
    Draw 24.02%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.7%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.31%

How you voted: Brighton vs Roma

Brighton & Hove Albion
51.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
38.3%
196
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Roma
4-0
Brighton
Dybala (13'), Lukaku (43'), Mancini (64'), Cristante (68')
Spinazzola (61')

Paul van Hecke (38'), Lamptey (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


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