MX23RW : Friday, January 12 21:19:33| >> :600:1064496:1064496:
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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Marseille
Brighton
1 - 0
Marseille
Pedro (88')
Lallana (79'), Mitoma (84'), Pedro (89'), Steele (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbemba (75'), Ounahi (79'), Sarr (90+4')
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion secure top spot in Group B of the Europa League by beating Marseille thanks to a 88th-minute winner from Joao Pedro.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawMarseille
51.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.92% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)40.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)16.11% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)45.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.007000000000005 0.01)64.64% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.01%
    Marseille 26.06%
    Draw 22.92%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 26.06%

How you voted: Brighton vs Marseille

Brighton & Hove Albion
45.1%
Draw
24.2%
Marseille
30.8%
91
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Marseille
2-2
Brighton
Mbemba (19'), Veretout (20')
Sarr (84'), Clauss (87'), Balerdi (89')
Gross (54'), Pedro (88' pen.)
Gross (55'), Dunk (83'), Veltman (84'), Ferguson (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20136143182545
2Aston Villa20133443271642
3Manchester CityMan City19124345212440
4Arsenal20124437201740
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs20123542291339
6West Ham UnitedWest Ham2010463330334
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton208753833531
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd2010192227-531
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2092939291029
10Chelsea208483431328
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves208483031-128
12Bournemouth197482835-725
13Fulham2073102835-724
14Crystal Palace205692229-721
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2055102435-1120
16Brentford1954102631-519
17Everton2082102428-416
18Luton TownLuton1943122337-1415
19Burnley2032152041-2111
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2023151549-349

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