MX23RW : Friday, December 1 00:05:03| >> :120:7534:7534:
Marseille
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Ajax
Marseille
4 - 3
Ajax
Aubameyang (9' pen., 47', 90+3' pen.), Mbemba (26')
Lodi (69'), Sarr (90')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Brobbey (10', 30'), Akpom (79')
Taylor (71'), Hlynsson (76'), Tahirovic (90+3'), Hato (90+8')
Berghuis (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 5-0 Vitesse
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Marseille 2-1 Ajax

Considering a total of 21 goals have been scored in the last six meetings between these two teams, including three apiece in their most recent clash two months ago, another enthralling encounter with plenty of goalmouth action could on the cards on Thursday. Both sides have experienced inconsistent spells of form in recent weeks, but when taking into account Marseille's solid home form and Ajax's poor away record, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to secure their place in the Europa League knockout rounds, eliminating their Dutch counterparts in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 36.57% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.71%).

Result
MarseilleDrawAjax
40.74%22.69%36.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 66.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.24%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.07% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)51.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 40.74%
    Ajax 36.57%
    Draw 22.69%
MarseilleDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.74%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 6.93%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.57%

How you voted: Marseille vs Ajax

Marseille
60.7%
Draw
21.3%
Ajax
18.0%
89
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Ajax
3-3
Marseille
Borges (9'), Berghuis (20'), Taylor (52')
Berghuis (22'), Vos (55')
Vos (90+1')
Clauss (23'), Aubameyang (38', 78')
Gigot (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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