Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
