Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
