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Oxford United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Crystal Palace logo
Oxford Utd
0 - 2
Crystal Palace

McGinty (6'), Bate (51'), Johnson (55'), Long (69'), Brannagan (80'), Smyth (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edouard (71'), Milivojevic (90' pen.)
Mateta (26'), Milivojevic (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Oxford United 0-2 Crystal Palace

Oxford have proven they can hang around in these elimination games, but the Eagles have a few attackers of the highest quality, who Viera can bring on if need be to make the difference in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
38.64% (-0.564 -0.56) 24.57% (0.14 0.14) 36.79% (0.427 0.43)
Both teams to score 59.3% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.628 -0.63)43.66% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.616 -0.62)66.05% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.557 -0.56)22.51% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.839 -0.84)56.08% (0.841 0.84)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)23.47% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)57.49% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 38.64%
    Crystal Palace 36.79%
    Draw 24.56%
Oxford UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.64%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.196 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 4% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 36.79%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Crystal Palace

Oxford United
22.8%
Draw
3.5%
Crystal Palace
73.7%
57
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2020 5.30pm
Jul 21, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool34178966422459
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford34121485244850
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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