MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:24:47| >> :600:5891376:5891376:
Mansfield Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Derby logo
Mansfield
1 - 2
Derby
Hawkins (56')
Hewitt (10'), O'Toole (44')
Bowery (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hewitt (30' og.), Barkhuizen (69')
Wildsmith (51'), Oduroh (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Mansfield Town 1-3 Derby County

Derby showed plenty of encouraging signs in their defeat to Charlton, and the introductions of young players in Sibley and Lewis Dobbin would only be a good thing for Rosenior. Mansfield could very well have been competing with the Rams in league action this term, but the gulf in quality should become evident here as Derby pick up a confidence-boosting success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawDerby County
48.94% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 25.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)54.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)75.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)22.15% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-0.055 -0.05)55.54% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.51% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 48.93%
    Derby County 25.15%
    Draw 25.91%
Mansfield TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Derby

Mansfield Town
23.5%
Derby County
76.5%
17
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2018 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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