The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | -15 | 55 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 46 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
We said: Derby County 1-0 Cardiff City
Derby may be dropping out of the Championship, but Rooney and his players are doing so with plenty of pride and we think the Rams will end on a high with victory on home turf. Only Barnsley are on worse form than Cardiff and the Bluebirds are unlikely to put up much of a fight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 46.7% | 25.63% | 27.67% |
| Both teams to score 52.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
