The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Derby County
A closely-fought contest between two sides struggling at the wrong end of the table is set to be played out this weekend, though both Cardiff and Derby will view this fixture as a winnable game. Nevertheless, there is little to separate these two teams and so a score draw could be on the cards in South Wales. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Derby County |
| 47.92% | 26.44% | 25.64% |
| Both teams to score 48.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
