We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Coventry City
Given the form of the teams around them, a draw is realistically no longer any use to Coventry in their playoff bid. Nevertheless, with Cardiff having improved of late, that feels like the most likely outcome, potentially with the home side rallying during the closing quarter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
