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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Peterborough United |
55.55% | 24.79% | 19.66% |
Both teams to score 45.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.86% | 55.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% | 76.38% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% | 19.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% | 51.86% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.29% | 42.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.96% | 79.04% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.09% 4-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
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