The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Derby County 1-1 Millwall
Millwall will be well rested after the late postponement at the weekend, something which could benefit their efforts on Wednesday. Nevertheless, we still feel that Derby's desire to avoid relegation will help them earn a share of the spoils at Pride Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Millwall |
| 43.42% | 27.66% | 28.92% |
| Both teams to score 46.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
