The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fulham | 46 | 63 | 90 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 46 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 17 | 82 |
We said: Derby County 0-2 Fulham
Given Derby's home form, it is difficult to rule out the Rams against any second-tier opponents at Pride Park. However, defeat for Fulham in their last game is the worst thing that could have happened for the East Midlands side, and the inevitable reaction from their opponents should lead to an away win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Fulham |
| 23.36% | 25.12% | 51.52% |
| Both teams to score 49.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
