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Gillingham
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Exeter City
Gillingham
0 - 0
Exeter

Ehmer (13')
FT

Sweeney (20'), Stubbs (81')
Gillingham win 6-5 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Gillingham and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Exeter City

While Exeter City have struggled to put together a fine run of form, they head into Tuesday's contest as slight favourites. They are unbeaten in four consecutive games against the Gills and we predict they will extend their recent dominance in the history of this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawExeter City
29.56% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 25.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 44.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.27% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.22% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)51.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.55% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06%31.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)23.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)57.1% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.56%
    Exeter City 44.46%
    Draw 25.97%
GillinghamDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.56%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Exeter

Gillingham
21.6%
Draw
18.9%
Exeter City
59.5%
37
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2020 1pm
Gillingham
2-3
Exeter
Oliver (21'), Samuel (80')
Law (29'), Randall (35', 40')
Atangana (33'), Sparkes (76')
Mar 12, 2013 7.45pm
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-3
Exeter
Jackman (79'), Whelpdale (4')
Lee (26'), Vincelot (86')
Gow (27'), Cureton (54', 87')
Woodman (32'), Sercombe (81')
Dec 28, 2009 3pm
Exeter
1-1
Gillingham
Duffy (68')
Cozic (16')
Lewis (70')
Sep 5, 2009 3pm
Gillingham
3-0
Exeter
Jackson (46', 5' pen.), Rooney (76')

Duffy (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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