Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Gillingham and Exeter City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
