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Derby logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
West Brom logo
Derby
1 - 0
West Brom
Sibley (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fellows (59')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Both managers will make changes from their respective league matches at the weekend, but there will still be plenty of quality on display from both sides. Derby are certainly capable of matching West Brom, but we believe that the away side will just have enough to secure a narrow win on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
31.81%26.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 51.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47%52.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41%74.59%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03%30.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73%67.27%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 31.81%
    West Bromwich Albion 41.7%
    Draw 26.48%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.7%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
28.8%
Draw
15.2%
West Bromwich Albion
56.1%
66
Head to Head
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Derby
1-0
West Brom
Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')

Clarke (36')
Sep 14, 2021 8pm
Jul 8, 2020 5pm
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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