Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
Metropolitanos
3 - 2
Aucas
Flores (14'), Moreno (51'), Pavone (65' pen.)
Jose Gabriel Cova Meneses (39'), Moreno (45+1'), Pavone (45+2'), (90+7')
Jose Gabriel Cova Meneses (39'), Moreno (45+1'), Pavone (45+2'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ordonez (67' pen.), Carerra (69')
Fydriszewski (44'), Carabali (45+1'), Briones (54'), Tapiero (64')
Fydriszewski (44'), Carabali (45+1'), Briones (54'), Tapiero (64')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Aucas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metropolitanos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Aucas |
| 39.78% | 23.07% | 37.15% |
| Both teams to score 65.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
