Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Jianye win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Jianye win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
