Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Dalian Yifang had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Dalian Yifang win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.