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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Stuttgart
Hoffenheim
3 - 3
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (16'), Sessegnon (48'), Kramaric (71' pen.)
Sessegnon (4'), Posch (77'), Geiger (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gonzalez (18'), Wamangituka (27'), Kempf (90+2')
Castro (30'), Kempf (89')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
34.61%22.35%43.04%
Both teams to score 67.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.94%33.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.21%54.78%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21%51.79%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9%16.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49%45.5%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 34.61%
    Stuttgart 43.04%
    Draw 22.35%
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.64%
1-0 @ 5.16%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.53%
4-3 @ 0.93%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 6.98%
0-0 @ 3.18%
3-3 @ 2.3%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 2.39%
2-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.47%
3-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 43.04%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 26
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Zuber (66')
Castro (45'), Zuber (68'), Ascacibar (69'), Kabak (75')
Kramaric (42')
Joelinton (59'), Schulz (79')
Oct 27, 2018 5.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Stuttgart
Brenet (48'), Joelinton (51'), Belfodil (57', 60')
Demirbay (41')

Ascacibar (35')
Insua (8')
May 5, 2018 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
Hoffenheim
Gomez (25', 74')
Ascacibar (2'), Baumgartl (8'), Gentner (50'), Zieler (79'), Aogo (80')
Ascacibar (65')

Akpoguma (51')
Dec 13, 2017 5.30pm
Mar 5, 2016 2.30pm
Stuttgart
5-1
Hoffenheim
Niedermeier (6', 51'), Rupp (42'), Kostic (78'), Werner (83')
Kravets (0')
Kramaric (73')
Sule (60'), Polanski (80')
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729

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