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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL Bochum | 34 | -14 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
71.97% | 16.22% | 11.81% |
Both teams to score 56.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.38% | 32.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.71% | 54.28% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.06% | 7.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.96% | 28.03% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.83% | 39.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.12% | 75.88% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 5.34% 4-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 3.7% 5-0 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 2.35% 5-2 @ 1.19% 6-0 @ 1.14% 6-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.38% Total : 71.97% | 1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.38% 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.22% | 1-2 @ 3.46% 0-1 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-2 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.62% Total : 11.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 83 | 34 | 49 | 65 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 64 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 57 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 56 |
5 | Freiburg | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 56 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 46 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 45 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 39 |
11 | FC Koln | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 38 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 32 |
15 | Schalke 04Schalke | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 30 |
16 | Stuttgart | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 28 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 69 | -36 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 25 |
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