Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Santos had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
