Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
