Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Santos had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
