Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
