Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eupen would win this match.
